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				Wednesday, September 27th, 2006 
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			<h4>

				How to Win at Rock-Paper-Scissors (and also how to cheat)
			</h4>
			<p><img width="215" height="172" alt="Rock_paper_scissors.jpg" id="image2031" src="http://www.mentalfloss.com/wp-content/uploads/2006/09/Rock_paper_scissors.jpg" /></p>
<p>Earlier this month, our YouTube Hunter found some riveting <a target="_blank" href="http://www.mentalfloss.com/blogs/archives/1682">rock-paper-scissors footage</a>. Today, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.rocketboom.com/vlog/archives/2006/09/rb_06_sep_27.html">Rocketboom has more</a>, including classic interviews with the world&#8217;s best RPS athletes.</p>
<p>(That&#8217;s right, I said RPS.  If you want to sound like an insider at the upcoming <a target="_blank" href="http://www.eventsonline.ca/events/worldrps/">World RPS Championships</a>, you should too.)</p>
<p>Want to play like a champion, and compete for the $10,000 prize?   From the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.worldrps.com/">World RPS Society</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Contrary to what you might think RPS is not simply a game of luck or chance. While it is true that from a mathematical perspective the &#8216;optimum&#8217; strategy is to play randomly, it still is not a winning strategy for two reasons.</p>
<p>First, &#8216;optimum&#8217; in this case means you should win, lose and draw an equal number of times (hardly a winning strategy over the long term). Second, Humans, try as they might, are terrible at trying to be random, in fact often humans in trying to approximate randomness become quite predictable. So knowing that there is always something motivating your opponent&#8217;s actions, there are a couple of tricks and techniques that you can use to tip the balance in your favour.</p></blockquote>
<p>The top secrets to winning at RPS &#8212; courtesy of Graham Walker, Director of Management of the World RPS Society &#8212; are after the jump.</p>
<p><a id="more-2032"></a> <strong>1 - Rock is for Rookies<br />
</strong>In RPS circles a common mantra is &#8220;Rock is for Rookies&#8221; because males have a tendency to lead with Rock on their opening throw. It has a lot to do with idea that Rock is perceived as &#8220;strong&#8221; and forceful&#8221;, so guys tend to fall back on it. Use this knowledge to take an easy first win by playing Paper. This tactic is best done in pedestrian matches against someone who doesn&#8217;t play that much and generally won&#8217;t work in tournament play.<br />
<strong>2 - Scissors on First<br />
</strong>The second step in the &#8216;Rock is for Rookies&#8217; line of thinking is to play scissors as your opening move against a more experienced player. Since you know they won&#8217;t come out with rock (since it is too obvious), scissors is your obvious safe move to win against paper or stalemate to itself.<br />
<strong>3 - The Double Run<br />
</strong>When playing with someone who is not experienced at the RPS, look out for double runs or in other words, the same throw twice. When this happens you can safely eliminate that throw and guarantee yourself at worst a stalemate in the next game. So, when you see a two-Scissor run, you know their next move will be Rock or Paper, so Paper is your best move. Why does this work? People hate being predictable and the perceived hallmark of predictability is to come out with the same throw three times in row.<br />
<strong>4 - Telegraph Your Throw<br />
</strong>Tell your opponent what you are going to throw and then actually throw what you said. Why? As long as you are not playing someone who actually thinks you are bold enough to telegraph your throw and then actually deliver it, you can eliminate the throw that beats the throw you are telegraphing. So, if you announce rock, your opponent won&#8217;t play paper which means coming out with that scissors will give you at worst a stalemate and at best the win.<br />
<strong>5 - Step Ahead Thinking<br />
</strong>Don&#8217;t know what to do for your next throw? Try playing the throw that would have lost to your opponents last throw? Sounds weird  but it works more often than not, why? Inexperienced (or flustered) players will often subconsciously deliver the throw that beat their last one. Therefore, if your opponent played paper, they will very often play Scissors, so you go Rock. This is a good tactic in a stalemate situation or when your opponent lost their last game. It is not as successful after a player has won the last game as they are generally in a more confident state of mind which causes them to be more active in choosing their next throw.<br />
<strong>6 - Suggest A Throw<br />
</strong>When playing against someone who asks you to remind them about the rules, take the opportunity to subtly &#8220;suggest a throw&#8221; as you explain to them by physically showing them the throw you want them to play. ie  &#8220;Paper beats Rock, Rock beats scissors (show scissors), Scissors (show scissors again) beats paper.&#8221; Believe it or not, when people are not paying attention their subconscious mind will often accept your &#8220;suggestion&#8221;.  A very similar technique is used by magicians to get someone to take a specific card from the deck.<br />
<strong>7 - When All Else Fails Go With Paper<br />
</strong>Haven&#8217;t a clue what to throw next? Then go with Paper. Why? Statistically, in competition play, it has been observed that scissors is thrown the least often. Specifically, it gets delivered 29.6% of the time, so it slightly under-indexes against the expected average of 33.33% by 3.73%. Obviously, knowing this only gives you a slight advantage, but in a situation where you just don&#8217;t know what to do, even a slight edge is better than none at all.<br />
<strong>8 - The Rounder&#8217;s Ploy<br />
</strong>This technique falls into more of a &#8216;cheating&#8217; category, but if you have no honour and can live with yourself the next day, you can use it to get an edge. The way it works is when you suggest a game with someone, make no mention of the number of rounds you are going to play. Play the first match and if you win, take it is as a win. If you lose, without missing a beat start playing the &#8216;next&#8217; round on the assumption that it was a best 2 out of 3. No doubt you will hear protests from your opponent but stay firm and remind them that &#8216;no one plays best of one for a kind of decision that you two are making&#8217;. No this devious technique won&#8217;t guarantee you the win, but it will give you a chance to battle back to even and start again.<em /></p>
<p><em> </em><em /><em> </em><em>And if that&#8217;s too hard to remember, here are some <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rock_paper_scissors#Cheating">ways to cheat</a>.</em>
</p>
<br /><span class="posted_by">Jason</span><p class="sendemail"><a href="javascript:openWindow('http://www.mentalfloss.com/sitetools/tellafriend.php?referrer=http%253A%252F%252Fwww.mentalfloss.com%252Fblogs%252Farchives%252F2032&amp;f=blog','450','530')">Send this Post &#187;</a></p>
			
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<div id="comments">
	<h6>10 Responses to &#8220;How to Win at Rock-Paper-Scissors (and also how to cheat)&#8221;</h6> 

	<ol class="commentlist">

	
		<li class="alt" id="comment-10601">
			<cite>Mark</cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10601" title="">April 16th, 2007 at 3:32 am</a> </span>

			<p>We used to play with another item called dynamite which was a thumbs-up sign. Dynamite beat rock (blows it up) but was beaten by scissors (they cut the wick) and I can&#8217;t remember what happened with paper - I think it beat paper too.</p>
<p>And I once had a girlfriend who introduced a an item she called &#8220;well&#8221; which was basically a an almost clenched fist (with a hole in the middle).</p>
<p>It took me about 10 rounds to work out that well beat everything else&#8230;
</p>

		</li>

	
	
		<li class="" id="comment-10614">
			<cite>John</cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10614" title="">April 16th, 2007 at 9:20 am</a> </span>

			<p>&#8220;First, ‘optimum’ in this case means you should win, lose and draw an equal number of times (hardly a winning strategy over the long term).&#8221;</p>
<p>That&#8217;s not really what &#8220;optimum&#8221; means.  It&#8217;s optimum when both players are playing the best they can, in which case, the expected outcome is a net gain/loss of zero.  Both players would be randomizing in that situation.</p>
<p>When one player is not playing a random strategy, then that pattern can be exploited; optimum play would be to exploit that pattern.  </p>
<p>The reason random play can be considered optimum in a general sense is that to not play randomly is to create an exploitable pattern; i.e., the non-randomizing player sets herself up to be taken advantage of.</p>
<p>Notice that with the exception of suggestions 7 &amp; 8, all the reasoning is on par with the Sicilian&#8217;s reasoning in &#8220;The Princess Bride.&#8221;  Suggestion 7 will simply change as the level of play improves, and suggestion 8 is just another statement of &#8220;quit while you&#8217;re ahead.&#8221;  And note that suggestion 8, if you&#8217;re playing against a randomizer, will do you no good about 64% of the time, IIRC, if you lose on the first round.  (See Epstein&#8217;s &#8220;Theory of Gambling &amp; Statistical Logic.&#8221;)
</p>

		</li>

	
	
		<li class="alt" id="comment-10623">
			<cite>Pat</cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10623" title="">April 16th, 2007 at 10:30 am</a> </span>

			<p>marc,<br />
Paper beats the well because it &#8220;covers it&#8221;
</p>

		</li>

	
	
		<li class="" id="comment-10644">
			<cite>Ted</cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10644" title="">April 16th, 2007 at 1:27 pm</a> </span>

			<p>Paper beats Dynamite because it &#8220;smothers the fuse&#8221;.
</p>

		</li>

	
	
		<li class="alt" id="comment-10652">
			<cite><a href='http://www.mintred.com' rel='external nofollow'>mintred</a></cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10652" title="">April 16th, 2007 at 4:20 pm</a> </span>

			<p>After reading this article, I decided to play against a few of my co-workers in a &#8220;best 3 out of 5&#8243; manner.</p>
<p>It was sorta embarassing, but I lost seven games in a row.  I&#8217;ll have to re-read the article, because I employed most of the strategies and logic contained herein.</p>
<p>Woe to my poor rock playing!
</p>

		</li>

	
	
		<li class="" id="comment-10655">
			<cite>Andy</cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10655" title="">April 16th, 2007 at 5:55 pm</a> </span>

			<p>dynamite beats rock<br />
rock beats scissors<br />
scissors beats dynamite</p>
<p>There is no paper in this setup.
</p>

		</li>

	
	
		<li class="alt" id="comment-10657">
			<cite>Jenn</cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10657" title="">April 16th, 2007 at 9:24 pm</a> </span>

			<p>When I was a kid, a few of us had a &#8220;secret&#8221; weapon. Rain. Rain beats everything. Rusts scissors, erodes rock, and disentigrates paper. Boy were we stupid because we would sit for 10 minuts going rain, rain, rain&#8230;.
</p>

		</li>

	
	
		<li class="" id="comment-10658">
			<cite>JB</cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10658" title="">April 16th, 2007 at 10:09 pm</a> </span>

			<p>Actually, I&#8217;ve always seen paper beat by dynamite because it catches fire.
</p>

		</li>

	
	
		<li class="alt" id="comment-10660">
			<cite>bigbird</cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10660" title="">April 16th, 2007 at 11:08 pm</a> </span>

			<p>I always use rock for 2 out of three matches. Usually what happens is i lose the first draw, and win the next two. Nobody expects rock 3 times in a row.
</p>

		</li>

	
	
		<li class="" id="comment-10663">
			<cite><a href='http://photoblog.dectus.com' rel='external nofollow'>dectus</a></cite> Says:
						<br />

			<span class="commentmetadata"><a href="#comment-10663" title="">April 17th, 2007 at 5:31 am</a> </span>

			<p>we had rain and fire (paper,scissors and rock too), was pretty funny
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